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MLB same-game parlay: Touted Phillies novice pitcher Andrew Painter set for MLB launching Tuesday vs. Nationals
Top prospect Andrew Painter makes his MLB launching Tuesday vs. the Nationals, and I have a same-game parlay
There are a lot of interesting stories around Major League Baseball on an usually hectic Tuesday in terms of guys making their very first start of the year on the mound. Future Hall of Famers Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer and Shohei Ohtani all are set for their 2026 pitching debuts, for instance, But I'll focus on Nationals-Phillies since it's the big-league debut of touted Philadelphia novice right-hander Andrew Painter. It's a 6:40 ET first pitch on MLB Network.
Painter is the ranked as the No. 26 total prospect in the sport through MLB.com and No. 2 on the Phillies behind shortstop Aidan Miller, who is No. 21. Painter begins his career at +2000 for NL Rookie of the Year. Outfielder Justin Crawford, the No. 51 general prospect who is striking.333, is +2200. The Phils are attempting to get more youthful on the fly as last year they had the second-oldest collection of position gamers (typical age: 30.3) and seventh-oldest pitching staff (30) in the majors.
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The 6-foot-7, 215-pound Painter was the No. 13 general choice in the 2021 MLB Draft out of a Florida high school with a general grade of 55 on a scale of 20-80 and a fastball graded at 70. He's considered the leading pitching prospect in the company given that future World Series MVP Cole Hamels more than 20 years ago. A couple of guys from that 2021 draft class currently have made a pretty big impact in the majors, such as Washington outfielder James Wood, Cincinnati starting pitcher Andrew Abbott and San Diego better Mason Miller.
Painter dominated Double-A in his first complete minor-league season and was called Baseball America's best pitcher in the minors in 2022. But then his profession got sidetracked by Tommy John surgery that kept him off a mound for 2023 and '24. Last year across 2 levels of the minors, he was 5-8 with a 5.26 ERA in 26 starts as his fastball command reoccured, common for guys off TJS and clearly not excellent numbers.
But his fastball balanced 95.6 mph in the minor leagues last year and reached 100.2 mph. The Phillies also had a gaping hole in the rotation after losing Ranger Suarez to totally free agency and with ace Zack Wheeler recovering from thoracic outlet decompression surgical treatment. So Painter had a clear opening this spring and took it with a 2.31 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in four outings covering 11.2 innings to get the No. 5 area.
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For this season, FanGraphs tasks Painter at 7-8 with a 4.62 ERA in 124.0 innings, which certainly would not suffice to win NL Rookie of the Year. Hamels didn't win that, and the only Phillies pitcher to do so was Jack Sanford in 1957.
Sitting 10 days shy of his 23rd birthday. Painter will be the youngest pitcher to begin a game for the Phillies considering that Suárez on Aug. 16, 2018. Assuming Crawford plays center field this evening, it will mark the very first time the Phils have an under-age 23 starting pitcher and position player in a video game since Aug. 7, 2015 when they were Aaron Nola and Maikel Franco.
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It's expected to be the most extremely anticipated debut by a homegrown Phillies pitcher because Hamels on May 12, 2006, when he took a no-decision in Cincinnati with 5 nothing innings, allowing simply one hit with 7 strikeouts. Hamels was a bit nervous with five walks, and I'll be playing Painter Over 1.5 strolls for the very same factor. His whole family and even high school coach will remain in attendance. DraftKings lists him at Over/Under 2.5 made runs, 14.5 outs and 4.5 strikeouts, while the SportsLine Projection Model has him at 5.1 innings, 5.0 strikeouts and 2.7 made runs.
Painter just requires to be extra cautious with Washington outfielder Joey Wiemer. He had an MLB-record-tying streak of 10 successive plate appearances to open the season snapped Monday but after singling in his first two at-bats. Wiemer is striking a cool MLB-best.800 on the season. that's not sustainable.
Nationals-Phillies DraftKings same-game parlay (+100 )
Phillies ML
Alt Under 11.5
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I don't have a big lean on Painter general but think he pitches pretty well, and the Phils win even if they aren't striking much at.189. The Nats will open with former minor-league journeyman in 29-year-old PJ Poulin as the opener. Zack Littell likely is the main behind him. The SportsLine Projection Model has Phillies 5.7-5.4.